Exit polls show Ga Democrats can't count just on minorities and women

Nov 7, 2014 - 18:44
Nov 8, 2014 - 12:49
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Exit polls show Ga Democrats can't count just on minorities and women
Exit polls show that Ga Democrats can't count just on minorities and women

The exit polls in Georgia showed a lower voter tuout than expected among minorities and women in the 2014 midterms, but most significantly, blacks and Hispanics didn't vote for Democrats as much as was needed for the Democratic candidates to win.

Georgia women were expected to tuout in 54-56 percent, but ended up at 52 percent. And while majority of the female vote did go to Democrats, it was a single-digit difference, not nearly enough to put Democrats ahead of Republicans. 

In the race for Georgia seat in the U.S. Senate, Democrat Michelle Nunn received 52 percent of the female vote to Republican David Perdue's 45 percent, and in the gubeatorial race, Democrat Jason Carter got 52 percent and Republican Nathan Deal - 46 percent of women's vote.

The African-American voter tuout was expected to be between 29-30 percent, and although the Democratic Party claimed that they would exceed those numbers, that didn't happen. The black vote was at 29 percent.

In the Senate race, 92 percent of African-Americans voted for the Democrat and 7 percent voted for Perdue.  Since Nunn lost by 7.9 percent, more support from this group could have at least forced a runoff.

The black vote let down Democrats even more in the gubeatorial race. Carter received just 89 percent of the vote to Deal's 10 percent.  Carter lost the election by 8 percent.

The Hispanic vote also spells some problems for Democrats in Georgia.  In the Senate race, 57 percent of Hispanics voted for Nunn and 42 percent voted for Perdue. In the gubeatorial race, 53 percent voted for Carter and 47 percent for Deal.  Nationally, Hispanics vote by a larger majority for Democrats; they supported Barack Obama in both of his presidential elections by around 70 percent.  

This near even split among Hispanics in Georgia isn't quite as damaging to Democrats just yet, because the Hispanic/Latino vote was only at 4 percent. But this is the fastest growing minority group in America.

Hispanics, especially in the South, are very religious and Catholic, so the Democratic platform, especially the pro-choice stance on abortion, is not consistent with their beliefs.

In addition, Democrats clearly have been baiting Hispanics with the immigration issue, and perhaps that's catching up with them. After all, Obama campaigned in 2008 on a promise to pass the immigration reform in the first 90 days of his presidency. Later, the 90 days tued into the first year, then to his first term, then to first two years of the second term, all to no avail. Now with Republican majorities in both chambers, it would take the GOP to actually move the reform. 

Demographics in Georgia, as well as across the country, are certainly changing.  According to 2013 report by the Census Bureau, racial and ethnic minorities make up about half of the "5 and under" age group in America, and non-Hispanic whites are set to lose their majority within the next three decades. 

Theoretically, this demographic shift should work for Democrats, but Georgia's 2014 election cycle shows that this assumed loyalty by women and minority groups to one party is not a given. Especially during midterms. 

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Mike Gallagher Freelance writer with a passion for travelling